Democratic Results by State Size

David P Farrar

Wellington correspondent David P. Farrar joins us with his high rating kiwiblog

The table above shows the 51 states (including DC) which get to vote in the November US election, and who has won each state in the Democratic Primary, and by how much. It is sorted by most to least electoral college votes.

 


StateResultMarginElectorsCumulative
CaliforniaClinton8%5555
TexasClinton4%3489
New YorkClinton17%31120
FloridaClinton17%27147
IllinoisObama32%21168
PennsylvaniaClinton10%21189
OhioClinton10%20209
MichiganClinton10%17226
GeorgiaObama35%15241
New JerseyClinton10%15256
North Carolina06-May-0815271
VirginiaObama29%13284
MassachusettsClinton15%12296
Indiana06-May-0811307
MissouriObama1%11318
TennesseeClinton14%11329
WashingtonObama37%11340
ArizonaClinton8%10350
MarylandObama25%10360
MinnesotaObama34%10370
WisconsinObama17%10380
AlabamaObama14%9389
ColoradoObama35%9398
LouisianaObama21%9407
Kentucky20-May-088415
South CarolinaObama28%8423
ConnecticutObama4%7430
IowaObama8%7437
OklahomaClinton24%7444
Oregon20-May-087451
ArkansasClinton43%6457
KanasaObama48%6463
MississippiObama24%6469
NebraskaObama36%5474
NevadaClinton6%5479
New MexicoClinton1%5484
UtahObama18%5489
West Virginia13-May-085494
HawaiiObama52%4498
IdahoObama63%4502
MaineObama19%4506
New HampshireClinton3%4510
Rhode IslandClinton18%4514
AlaskaObama50%3517
DCObama51%3520
DelawareObama11%3523
Montana03-Jun-083526
North DakotaObama24%3529
South Dakota03-Jun-083532
VermontObama20%3535
WyomingObama23%3538

Of the ten biggest states (comprising 256 of the 538 electors) Clinton has won eight, and Obama just two (one his own).

Obama is still highly highly likely to be the Democratic nominee. But his inability to win in the larger states does mean those lingering doubts about him grow. And Clinton is not going anywhere as Maureen Dowd points out:

Now that Hillary has won Pennsylvania, it will take a village to help Obama escape from the suffocating embrace of his rival. Certainly Howard Dean will be of no use steering her to the exit. It’s like Micronesia telling Russia to denuke.

Heh. Indeed.

Meanwhile Clinton is going more hawkish than the hawks. Look at this:

Clinton further displayed tough talk in an interview airing on “Good Morning America” Tuesday. ABC News’ Chris Cuomo asked Clinton what she would do if Iran attacked Israel with nuclear weapons.

“I want the Iranians to know that if I’m the president, we will attack Iran,” Clinton said. “In the next 10 years, during which they might foolishly consider launching an attack on Israel, we would be able to totally obliterate them.”

Hey if MCain wins, maybe she can be Secretary of Defence :-)

http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/04/democratic_results_by_state_size.html

 
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  • Evan says
    Looking back at the US elections now almost makes the whole issue amusing to a certain degree. It is significant that Obama did not win in the larger states. It reduces the glory of his dramatic win in that election, as technically he won by a lesser percentage of people.

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